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Domestically, the "just transition" presents political risk. Phasing out coal mining and oil refining creates organised opposition from labour unions and regional interests. In Germany, the coal exit commission negotiated a €40 billion package over 20 years to manage phase-out, highlighting how political feasibility lags technical feasibility. Additionally, geopolitical tensions over rare earth elements (needed for turbines and motors) may simply shift dependency from oil cartels to new resource conflicts. For example, China controls 85% of rare earth refining, raising concerns about supply chain weaponisation.

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